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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
65.91% ( -0.3) | 18.92% ( 0.12) | 15.17% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.35% ( -0.18) | 37.66% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.11% ( -0.19) | 59.89% ( 0.19) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.35% ( -0.13) | 10.65% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.49% ( -0.28) | 34.51% ( 0.28) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% ( 0.12) | 37.66% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% ( 0.12) | 74.43% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.6% Total : 65.91% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.92% | 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.17% |
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