While Toronto have put together some solid performances at home to the Union, there does not appear to be a lot of harmony within this group - which has been evident by their results - and it will take more than the presence of John Herdman to steer this club back on course.
This is the time of year where the Union seem to bring it all together, and given their current form and the race for second in the East being so close, we expect to see them put forth another inspiring performance in midweek.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
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