Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
53.84% ( -0.17) | 24.49% ( 0.07) | 21.67% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.6% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.23% ( -0.18) | 51.76% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.46% ( -0.16) | 73.53% ( 0.15) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.84% ( -0.14) | 19.16% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.18% ( -0.22) | 50.82% ( 0.22) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.36% ( -0) | 38.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.61% ( -0) | 75.38% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.83% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 21.67% |
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