SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
53.78% ( -0.14) | 22.6% ( 0.25) | 23.62% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.36% ( -1.3) | 41.63% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.97% ( -1.32) | 64.03% ( 1.32) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% ( -0.5) | 15.47% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.66% ( -0.94) | 44.34% ( 0.94) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( -0.81) | 31.21% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( -0.95) | 67.55% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.78% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 23.62% |
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