SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
40.61% ( 0.16) | 24.52% ( -0.19) | 34.87% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.23% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( 0.9) | 43.64% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( 0.88) | 66.03% ( -0.88) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( 0.47) | 21.54% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( 0.71) | 54.6% ( -0.71) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( 0.44) | 24.51% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( 0.62) | 58.97% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.87% |
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