SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
41.48% ( -0) | 25.91% ( 0) | 32.6% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.6% ( -0.03) | 50.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.66% ( -0.02) | 72.33% ( 0.02) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.01) | 24.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( -0.01) | 58.33% ( 0.01) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( -0.02) | 29.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.92% ( -0.02) | 65.07% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.48% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.6% |
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