SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
67.45% ( -0.4) | 18.76% ( 0.16) | 13.78% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.99% ( -0.17) | 40.01% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.62% ( -0.17) | 62.37% ( 0.17) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.07% ( -0.15) | 10.92% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.89% ( -0.33) | 35.11% ( 0.33) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.95% ( 0.25) | 41.04% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.4% ( 0.22) | 77.59% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.16% Total : 67.45% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.76% | 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.78% |
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