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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
30.32% ( -0.33) | 24.94% ( 0.07) | 44.74% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( -0.46) | 47.03% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( -0.44) | 69.27% ( 0.43) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( -0.46) | 28.97% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% ( -0.56) | 64.87% ( 0.56) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -0.08) | 21.06% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( -0.12) | 53.87% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.74% |
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