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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
42.11% ( 0.13) | 24.71% ( -0.06) | 33.18% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.05% ( 0.26) | 44.95% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% ( 0.25) | 67.3% ( -0.25) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( 0.17) | 21.39% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( 0.26) | 54.37% ( -0.26) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.08) | 26.12% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( 0.11) | 61.18% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.18% |
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