SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
61.39% ( -0.34) | 20.62% ( 0.16) | 17.99% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.78% ( -0.4) | 40.21% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.41% ( -0.41) | 62.58% ( 0.41) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( -0.22) | 12.63% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.24% ( -0.46) | 38.76% ( 0.46) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( -0.03) | 35.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.39% ( -0.04) | 72.61% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.62% Total : 61.39% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 17.99% |
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