SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.94% ( -2.37) | 23.43% ( 0.73) | 23.63% ( 1.64) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% ( -1.42) | 45.36% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% ( -1.38) | 67.69% ( 1.38) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( -1.34) | 17.1% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% ( -2.43) | 47.3% ( 2.43) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( 0.69) | 33.24% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( 0.75) | 69.86% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.63% |
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