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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
65.12% ( 5.83) | 19.27% ( -1.93) | 15.61% ( -3.9) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.65% ( 2.13) | 38.35% ( -2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.37% ( 2.22) | 60.63% ( -2.22) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.95% ( 2.27) | 11.05% ( -2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.6% ( 4.78) | 35.4% ( -4.78) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% ( -3.14) | 37.51% ( 3.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.7% ( -3.22) | 74.3% ( 3.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
| 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 7.38% ( 1.13)3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.56)4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.92)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.62)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.52)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.4)Other @ 4.35% Total : 65.12% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.9) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.47)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.43)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.27% | 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.88) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.82)0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.62)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.44)Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.61% |
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