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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
43.22% ( -0.28) | 24.49% ( -0.03) | 32.29% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.54% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.79% ( 0.23) | 44.21% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% ( 0.23) | 66.58% ( -0.22) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( -0.03) | 20.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% ( -0.04) | 53.09% ( 0.05) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( 0.31) | 26.31% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% ( 0.41) | 61.43% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.25% Total : 32.29% |
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