Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
40.46% ( -0.1) | 22.98% ( -0.01) | 36.56% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 65.33% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.18% ( 0.08) | 35.82% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.1% ( 0.09) | 57.89% ( -0.09) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( -0.01) | 18.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% ( -0.01) | 49.34% ( 0.01) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% ( 0.09) | 20.05% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.72% ( 0.14) | 52.27% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.56% |
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