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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
IM

Montreal
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Duke (22'), Vilsaint (32')
Piette (43')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Rojas (44'), Suarez (45+3'), Cremaschi (59')
Krivtsov (55'), Busquets (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-4 Inter Miami

Le CFM have conceded four or more goals in three domestic away fixtures this season, and that was against three low-scoring teams in the Seattle Sounders, Chicago Fire and Nashville, so we imagine that a quality side like Miami would do a lot of damage against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
40.46% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1) 22.98% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 36.56% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.33% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.18% (0.084000000000003 0.08)35.82% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.1% (0.092999999999996 0.09)57.89% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.087999999999994 0.09)20.05% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.144 0.14)52.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 40.46%
    Inter Miami 36.56%
    Draw 22.97%
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 40.46%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 5-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 7 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-0 Montreal
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Monterrey 3-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, April 11 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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