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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.13% ( 0.03) | 23.41% ( 0.01) | 24.46% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( -0.08) | 44.44% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( -0.07) | 66.82% ( 0.07) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( -0.02) | 17.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.77% ( -0.03) | 47.23% ( 0.02) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( -0.08) | 32.04% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( -0.09) | 68.51% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.46% |
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