SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
57.8% ( -0.02) | 21.72% ( 0.01) | 20.47% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0.03) | 41.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( -0.03) | 63.87% ( 0.03) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( -0.02) | 14.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.26% ( -0.03) | 41.73% ( 0.03) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.01) | 33.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( -0.01) | 70.66% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 6% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.8% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.47% |
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