These teams have been dynamic and potent in the attacking third all season long, while they have each shown their vulnerabilities along the backline, so we could see our share of goals in this contest.
Unfortunately for Austin, fairy tales do not always have a happy ending, and given the offensive depth of LAFC plus their ability to slow down the pace of a game, we believe they will have a little bit more quality that will propel them to a triumph on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
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