SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
49.31% ( 0.59) | 22.57% ( -0.1) | 28.12% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 62.87% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.58% ( 0.13) | 37.42% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.36% ( 0.14) | 59.64% ( -0.15) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% ( 0.26) | 15.49% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.62% ( 0.48) | 44.38% ( -0.48) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.26) | 25.6% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.52% ( -0.35) | 60.48% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.31% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.12% |
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