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Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Providence Park
LG

Portland
1 - 1
LA Galaxy

Mora (49')
Fory (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramirez (81')
Miller (47'), Mora (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Portland
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Herediano
Thursday, March 13 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Portland Timbers 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy

Playing an exceptionally soft and susceptible Timbers defensive unit is exactly what the Galaxy need to get their campaign back on track, and we expect they will gain a lot of confidence from their performance on Wednesday heading into this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
45.19% (-0.012 -0.01) 22.86% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 31.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 64.3% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.42% (0.07 0.07)36.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.27% (0.076000000000001 0.08)58.74% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.025999999999996 0.03)16.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (0.048000000000002 0.05)22.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (0.07 0.07)56.55% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 45.19%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 31.95%
    Draw 22.86%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 31.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Portland
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Austin
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-4 Vancouver
Sunday, February 23 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Portland
Thursday, October 24 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Portland
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 0-0 Dallas
Monday, October 7 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Herediano
Thursday, March 13 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-3 St Louis City
Sunday, March 9 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Herediano 1-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, March 6 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 2 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-2 San Diego
Monday, February 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, December 7 at 9pm in MLS Playoffs


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