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NY
Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena
NE

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
New England

Amaya (58'), Carmona (85')
Reyes (74'), Harper (75'), Duncan (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bye (76')
Wood (6')
Blessing (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 New England
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-1 New England Revolution

Despite last week's defeat, New York Red Bulls have recently turned things around and pose more of a threat to visiting teams. However, New England have racked up 35 goals this season - the fourth-most throughout MLS - and should journey home with at least one point.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawNew England Revolution
56.35% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 23.76% (0.0030000000000001 0) 19.88% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.2% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)50.98% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)72.85% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)17.92% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)48.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)40.05% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)76.7% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 56.33%
    New England Revolution 19.88%
    Draw 23.76%
New York Red BullsDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 56.33%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-3 Orlando City
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, June 1 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 New England
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 3-1 Orlando City
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 0-0 New England
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-3 New England
Thursday, June 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer


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