Despite their defeat in midweek, Montreal still did a lot of things well, and we expect them to return to form at home, where they have been incredibly potent in the final third, the opposite of RSL, who look uncomfortable and passive on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Real Salt Lake
62.39% ( 0.34)	21.26% ( -0.16)	16.35% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 50.46% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.05% (

0.35)

45.95% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.74% (

0.33)

68.26% (

-0.33)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

0.22)

14.14% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.19% (

0.42)

41.81% (

-0.42)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.78% (

-0.02)

41.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.25% (

-0.02)

77.75% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 62.39%

Real Salt Lake 16.35%

Draw 21.25%

CF Montreal	Draw	Real Salt Lake
1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.39%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.25%	0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 16.35%