SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Toronto |
58.31% ( -0.18) | 22.37% ( 0.07) | 19.32% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( -0.16) | 45.97% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( -0.16) | 68.28% ( 0.16) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( -0.12) | 15.46% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.68% ( -0.22) | 44.32% ( 0.22) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.24% ( 0.02) | 37.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.46% ( 0.02) | 74.54% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.3% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.32% |
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