When these sides square off, it tends to be a high-scoring affair, as they have each found the back of the net in five of their previous six meetings.
The deciding factor in this one for us will be Sean Johnson, who has not had much help from his backline but has made big saves when called upon, whereas Brady in the Chicago goal has been poor throughout the campaign.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
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