Sunday might be the best opportunity for Toronto to end their lengthy losing run, as Montreal have looked unhinged and out of sorts away from home, which we believe the Reds can take advantage of.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.