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Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
MI

Inter Miami
2 - 0
Montreal

Krivtsov (41'), Borgelin (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herrera (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 CF Montreal

This is likely to be a tight contest with both sides being without key players from last season. Montreal will be confident of taking last season's excellent away record into the new campaign and their positive momentum from the end of the 2022 season may just give them the edge against Miami.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawCF Montreal
23.87% (-0.498 -0.5) 22.66% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 53.46% (0.522 0.52)
Both teams to score 58.24% (-0.52 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (-0.42 -0.42)41.64% (0.421 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (-0.425 -0.43)64.05% (0.427 0.43)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)31.01% (0.64 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (-0.754 -0.75)67.31% (0.756 0.76)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (0.028000000000006 0.03)15.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (0.052999999999997 0.05)44.54% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 23.87%
    CF Montreal 53.46%
    Draw 22.65%
Inter MiamiDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.87%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.178 0.18)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 6.06% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.17% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.82% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.054 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 53.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 3-0 Inter Miami
Tuesday, October 18 at 12am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Montreal
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 4-1 Orlando City
Thursday, October 6 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew
Wednesday, September 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-3 NY City
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Monday, October 17 at 1am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Montreal
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-0 DC United
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 0-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 3-2 Chicago Fire
Wednesday, September 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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