SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Minnesota United |
58.08% ( -0.27) | 23.41% ( 0.08) | 18.51% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.6% ( -0.07) | 51.4% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.79% ( -0.06) | 73.21% ( 0.06) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( -0.12) | 17.44% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.1% ( -0.21) | 47.9% ( 0.21) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.16% ( 0.18) | 41.84% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.71% ( 0.15) | 78.29% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.08% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.51% |
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