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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
51.21% ( -0.04) | 24.42% ( 0.01) | 24.36% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.03) | 48.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.02) | 70.97% ( 0.02) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( -0.03) | 19.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.31% ( -0.04) | 50.68% ( 0.04) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( 0.01) | 34.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( 0.01) | 71.25% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.21% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.36% |
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