SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
65.24% ( -0) | 20.47% ( -0.01) | 14.29% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( 0.08) | 46.53% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( 0.07) | 68.81% ( -0.07) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( 0.02) | 13.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.54% ( 0.05) | 40.46% ( -0.05) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.61% ( 0.07) | 44.39% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.56% ( 0.05) | 80.44% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 65.24% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.47% | 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.29% |
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