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SK
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 1am UK
Livestrong Sporting Park
NY
Kansas
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Fontas (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Long (53')
Harper (58'), Tolkin (79'), Amaya (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sporting Kansas City 0-1 New York Red Bulls

Even though the gap between these sides is currently 13 points, we believe this will be a close encounter between a New York squad who are struggling to find that quality away from home and a KC team that cannot seem to catch a break domestically. Psychologically New York have a decided edge, and we expect their depth will eventually be able to end their road drought against a side that provide you with plenty of scoring opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
42.78% (0.14599999999999 0.15) 25.55% (0.151 0.15) 31.66% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 54.67% (-0.625 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86% (-0.757 -0.76)49.13% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (-0.689 -0.69)71.2% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)22.86% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (-0.381 -0.38)56.6% (0.379 0.38)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.572 -0.57)29.12% (0.57 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.712 -0.71)65.05% (0.709 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 42.78%
    New York Red Bulls 31.66%
    Draw 25.55%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.227 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.204 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.21% (0.123 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Seattle 3-0 Kansas
Saturday, June 25 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 29 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Kansas
Monday, May 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Colorado
Thursday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Atlanta
Friday, July 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-1 DC United
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 22 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

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