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CF
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
NY

Charlotte FC
1 - 0
NY City

Malanda (8')
Westwood (34'), Vargas (73'), Urso (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ilencic (9'), Martins (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 5-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 1-2 New York City FC

There are a lot of new faces in Charlotte, and it might take them a while to gel as a unit, while we are unconvinced they have sorted out their goalkeeping issues. After a difficult 2023 campaign, having a long off-season to familiarize themselves with their new surroundings should be helpful to the Pigeons, who have plenty of attacking depth which should serve them well in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlotte FC in this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawNew York City FC
40.65% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 27.29% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 32.06% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (-0.291 -0.29)56.05% (0.287 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.237 -0.24)77.13% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.07% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)62.44% (0.113 0.11)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-0.258 -0.26)32.35% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.14% (-0.292 -0.29)68.86% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 40.64%
    New York City FC 32.06%
    Draw 27.28%
Charlotte FCDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.76% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 5-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-0 Toronto
Thursday, October 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-0 NY City
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Sunday, October 1 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-0 Orlando City
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer


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