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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Nashville SC |
57% ( -0.15) | 23.06% ( 0.05) | 19.94% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( -0.09) | 48.06% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( -0.08) | 70.22% ( 0.08) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( -0.08) | 16.63% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( -0.15) | 46.46% ( 0.15) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( 0.05) | 38.31% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( 0.05) | 75.07% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 56.99% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 19.94% |
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