SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
45.64% ( -0.54) | 27.97% ( -0.04) | 26.38% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.31% ( 0.46) | 60.69% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( 0.34) | 80.76% ( -0.35) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.06) | 26.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( -0.08) | 61.82% ( 0.08) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( 0.77) | 39.27% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.02% ( 0.71) | 75.97% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.38% |
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