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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
50.82% ( -0.09) | 22.97% ( 0.04) | 26.2% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.7% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.13% ( -0.16) | 40.86% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.17) | 63.25% ( 0.17) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( -0.09) | 16.22% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.28% ( -0.17) | 45.72% ( 0.17) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( -0.05) | 28.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( -0.07) | 64.58% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.2% |
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