SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
62.41% ( 0) | 20.04% | 17.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.71% ( -0.01) | 38.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.43% ( -0.01) | 60.56% ( 0.01) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.24% ( -0) | 11.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.07% ( -0.01) | 36.92% ( 0) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.01) | 35.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( -0.01) | 71.92% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.12% Total : 62.41% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.04% | 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.55% |
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