SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
41.79% ( -0.41) | 25.18% ( -0.16) | 33.03% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.87) | 47.09% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( 0.8) | 69.33% ( -0.8) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( 0.18) | 22.46% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( 0.26) | 56% ( -0.26) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 0.78) | 27.24% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( 1.01) | 62.67% ( -1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 33.03% |
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