SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 19 | 7 | 32 |
| 3 | New York City FC | 17 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | CF Montreal | 18 | -1 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 18 | 1 | 29 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 18 | 1 | 25 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 2 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
60.88% ( -0.03) | 20.79% ( 0.01) | 18.33% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( -0.04) | 40.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( -0.04) | 62.82% ( 0.04) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( -0.02) | 12.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.79% ( -0.04) | 39.21% ( 0.04) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0) | 35.59% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.64% ( -0) | 72.36% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 60.88% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.79% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.77% 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
