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Major League Soccer
Apr 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
PU

Toronto
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Jimenez (39'), Pozuelo (51')
Nelson (19'), Pozuelo (30'), Bradley (45+1'), Chung (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carranza (34')
Carranza (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 0-1 Philadelphia Union

TFC are young and fast with plenty of potential, but all of those qualities can also be said about the Union, who are sounder defensively and do not make the mental errors that we are seeing from time to time in Toronto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
39.16%25.86%34.98%
Both teams to score 54.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32%49.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3%71.69%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06%24.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43%59.57%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7%27.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26%62.74%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 39.16%
    Philadelphia Union 34.98%
    Draw 25.85%
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 10 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 NY City
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 DC United
Saturday, March 19 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Toronto
Saturday, March 12 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 5 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Toronto
Saturday, February 26 at 10.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Columbus Crew
Saturday, April 9 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 0-2 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 19 at 5pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Minnesota Utd
Saturday, February 26 at 6pm in Major League Soccer


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