TFC are young and fast with plenty of potential, but all of those qualities can also be said about the Union, who are sounder defensively and do not make the mental errors that we are seeing from time to time in Toronto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
39.16%	25.86%	34.98%

Both teams to score 54.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.32%

49.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3%

71.69%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06%

24.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43%

59.57%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7%

27.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.26%

62.74%

Score Analysis

Toronto 39.16%

Philadelphia Union 34.98%

Draw 25.85%

Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.16%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.98%