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Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
TF

Nashville
2 - 0
Toronto

Moore (81'), Bunbury (90+1')
Yearwood (36'), Boyd (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thompson (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-3 NY City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 3-1 Toronto

It has been an extremely underwhelming campaign for the Boys in Gold thus far, but they seem to execute their tactics a lot better on their home turf, and we expect them to unlock a Toronto defence that still concede plenty of scoring opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawToronto
61.54% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.33%17.14%
Both teams to score 51.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78% (0.002999999999993 0)67.22%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.64%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41%39.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72%76.28% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 61.53%
    Toronto 17.14%
    Draw 21.32%
Nashville SCDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 6.49%
4-0 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 61.53%
1-1 @ 10.11%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.16%
1-2 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 17.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-3 NY City
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 New England
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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