SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a New York City FC win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
55.99% ( 1.82) | 22.49% ( -0.48) | 21.52% ( -1.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.41% ( 0.56) | 43.59% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.02% ( 0.55) | 65.98% ( -0.55) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( 0.82) | 15.41% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.77% ( 1.51) | 44.23% ( -1.51) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.92) | 34.18% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( -1) | 70.87% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.99% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.52% |
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