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NY
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
FC

NY City
1 - 3
Cincinnati

Cufre (64')
Cufre (41'), Chanot (53'), Sands (56'), Gray (58'), Pereira (66'), Alfaro (82'), Morales (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Acosta (38'), Barreal (59'), Vazquez (70' pen.)
Mosquera (43'), Vazquez (45+5'), Acosta (50'), Gaddis (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 FC Cincinnati

The Pigeons have not been as poor as their record indicates but have been guilty of a few mental errors, which we believe they will correct come Wednesday. Cincinnati have been grinding out their share of results, and given they have a similar approach to the Union, we believe New York will have a slight advantage, having played Philly just days ago.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
55.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 22.4% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)15.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)43.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71%69.28% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 55.31%
    FC Cincinnati 22.28%
    Draw 22.4%
New York City FCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 6.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 55.31%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY City 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 NY City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-2 NY City
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 NY City
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 DC United
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Portland
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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