SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York City FC |
44.96% ( -0.61) | 25.59% ( -0.87) | 29.45% ( 1.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( 3.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( 4.24) | 50.25% ( -4.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( 3.64) | 72.2% ( -3.64) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( 1.53) | 22.31% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% ( 2.24) | 55.78% ( -2.25) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( 3.34) | 31.23% ( -3.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( 3.71) | 67.57% ( -3.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -1.36) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.63)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.37)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -1.27)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.41)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.39)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.37)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.45% |
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