SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.19%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
55.19% ( -0.03) | 22.4% ( -0.04) | 22.41% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.27% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% ( 0.24) | 42.07% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( 0.24) | 64.47% ( -0.24) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( 0.07) | 15.15% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.26% ( 0.14) | 43.74% ( -0.14) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( 0.19) | 32.5% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% ( 0.21) | 69.03% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.19% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 22.41% |
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