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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
46.31% ( 0.2) | 24.27% ( -0.01) | 29.41% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% ( -0.09) | 44.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( -0.08) | 66.9% ( 0.08) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.63% ( 0.04) | 19.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.84% ( 0.08) | 51.16% ( -0.08) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( -0.18) | 28.34% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% ( -0.22) | 64.07% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.31% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.41% |
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