SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
63.46% ( -0.13) | 21.32% ( 0.04) | 15.21% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.7% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% ( -0.01) | 48.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.55% ( -0.01) | 70.45% ( 0.02) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( -0.05) | 14.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.36% ( -0.09) | 42.64% ( 0.09) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.84% ( 0.12) | 44.16% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.74% ( 0.1) | 80.25% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Toronto |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.32% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 15.21% |
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