SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
41.14% ( -0.2) | 26.07% ( 0.02) | 32.79% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% ( -0.03) | 51.01% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( -0.02) | 72.88% ( 0.02) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( -0.11) | 24.5% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.04% ( -0.16) | 58.96% ( 0.16) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( 0.1) | 29.32% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( 0.13) | 65.3% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.79% |
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