This contest will feature two of seven MLS sides who have yet to find the back of the net in 2022, and it could be another conservative match with both squads looking tentative in the early stages of this campaign.
For Houston, the arrival of Herrera cannot come soon enough, and while the Caps have not beaten the Dynamo on the road since 2018, they have shown more attacking intent and more chemistry than Orange Crush, so we expect that will be enough to earn them three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
