SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
29.62% ( -0.06) | 28.61% ( -0) | 41.77% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.71% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.57% ( -0) | 61.43% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.68% | 81.31% ( 0) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.99% ( -0.05) | 37.01% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.2% ( -0.05) | 73.8% ( 0.05) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 0.04) | 29.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.09% ( 0.05) | 64.91% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 29.62% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.59% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 41.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
