SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
29.54% ( 0.06) | 28.19% ( 0.03) | 42.27% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.96% ( -0.08) | 60.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.73% ( -0.06) | 80.27% ( 0.07) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% | 36.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( 0) | 73.1% ( 0) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( -0.09) | 28.07% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% ( -0.12) | 63.73% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.54% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
