Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
