SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Chorley |
36.05% ( 0.2) | 25.92% ( 0.03) | 38.03% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% ( -0.13) | 49.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% ( -0.12) | 71.83% ( 0.12) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( 0.05) | 26.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% ( 0.07) | 62.01% ( -0.07) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.19) | 25.62% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( -0.26) | 60.51% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.03% |
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